First point: **** me, Manley was HUGE compared to Colton. I did not realise that prior to the fight.
I got the win predictions right but the KO prediction wrong. Plus side - it was kinda exciting for me assuming Ricci was gonna get the KO (as Colton didn't, I thought Ricci had the advantage everywhere and the ads promised a KO) and fulfilling that assumption.
Ricci will win. Only if they come out as completely different fighters a few hours from now (aka a few months from the end of the season) would that change. Colton is good at control, Ricci is good everywhere. He can avoid control, he can impose control, he can strike while avoiding control. I think he's got that **** wrapped up. Ricci is pro. On top of that, dude's got talent. Arrogant? If you feel that way, OK. I think he's just realistic. Kinda like Big Country. Came into TUF knowing he had the training that 6 weeks of good training woudln't exceed. Big Country was an old pro. Ricci is a young pro. He may not end up in the top level of UFC, but goddamnit he's pro enough to exceed the TUF 16 crowd.
I was a little surprised by Ricci's emotional reaction to beating Mangleymangleson. Not hugely - trained pros tend to be more emotional about wins than losses, especially when there's a personal element. But still. Canuck got heart.
If Ricci hasn't put on 10+lbs since the end of the TV filming he might have a bit of trouble. Colton's decent at control and could win a LnP/CagenPray result if Ricci can't use his skill because of his physical limitations. But I doubt that. I think Colton will come out of his camp thinking he's a KO champ, and Ricci will weather the initial attacks then take advantage.
Also, Big Country will smother Mitrione. I like Mitrione. I wish him the best. I hope his career goes for years. But BC will tool him.
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